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Jack Harich's avatar

"In reality, Rubio’s act is more accurately viewed as yet another step in a broader campaign to dismantle America’s capacity to detect and respond to foreign influence operations." - Yes. But why is the Trump administration doing this?

"In just three months, the second Trump administration has dismantled many of the institutions that were launched during the first—many of which emerged as a result of Russia’s well-documented interference in the 2016 election." - Again, why is Trump doing this? Could it be related to Trump's relationship with Putin?

"Framing, it seems, is all that matters, not facts. The stories are complex; few people, or even journalists, actually go back to examine what the GEC or the Foreign Influence Task Force really did." - Yes. Complex fallacious framing works, because it's so hard for citizens and journalists to understand and figure out it's disinformation.

"Russia, China, and Iran continue to run influence operations aimed at dividing the American public, undermining trust in democratic institutions, and eroding support for US allies–particularly Ukraine. And now, both the government agencies that responded to them and grantmaking pipelines that supported academic and civil society efforts are being systematically dismantled." - Exactly. This is hugely important. It's THE KEY MESSAGE in your article. Yet we see nearly zero attention to this in the press or in social media, including here in Substack. I sincerely hope you, The Next Move, and RDI are able to get some traction with this message.

"We’re gutting capacity [to win the information war against authoritarian states] not because it failed, and not for purposes of surgical reform or improvement, but to reward grievance and kowtow to a president’s whims. The consequences won’t come overnight. But they will come." - Yes they will, unless we can analyze this problem and develop effective counter strategies. But again, why did Trump shut down the Global Engagement Center? Why is he deliberately causing the US to lose the information war?

I'm a social system researcher working on the democratic backsliding problem. My conclusion is that it's possible for political scientists to analyze complex governance problems, like backsliding and the problem you address, that the US has now deliberately chosen to lose the information war and thereby let authoritarian states tip elections to their preferred candidates.

If you are interested in this line of research I can point to two entry points:

(1) Your KEY MESSAGE, as described above, is what scientists call signal instead of noise. It's information that matters. Noise is random variations or unwanted information that doesn't matter and obscures the signal. Your message is not getting to the audience that needs to hear it because it's sandwiched between disinformation noise and normal news, and is tiny by comparison. See this article for an explanation on this and the beginning of a new dataset of signal-to-noise news stories in US Politics:

https://analyticalactivist.substack.com/p/the-signal-to-noise-trump-tracker

(2) I asked several times above: Why is Trump doing this? My hypothesis, shared by many in the intelligence community, is that Trump is a Russian controlled asset. While the evidence of exactly what kind is nebulous, there is considerable circumstantial evidence, plus his consistently strong actions in support of his spy master, Putin. See this article:

https://analyticalactivist.substack.com/p/coming-soon

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